Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 374.072467 425.162061 482.149895 550.697342 631.263570 723.375839 837.267231
2025-08-31 293.161176 358.354188 437.781874 542.726129 679.310220 853.237732 1095.029413
2025-09-07 252.434009 323.730113 415.864247 545.690426 727.241579 977.233494 1356.730942
2025-09-14 219.176842 291.514326 389.316040 534.242548 748.864384 1063.860661 1578.615232
2025-09-21 196.572242 269.676761 372.417438 531.478392 779.284159 1164.517310 1838.359441
2025-09-28 172.921223 243.123406 344.877977 508.084030 773.132436 1205.387817 2006.478975
2025-10-05 163.909131 236.536645 345.336041 526.645127 834.808304 1364.904568 2413.986440
2025-10-12 157.359259 232.707247 349.153024 550.431778 907.972293 1556.185070 2926.649748
2025-10-19 147.279826 222.252939 341.160503 553.113418 944.033990 1685.699011 3347.831291
2025-10-26 135.177676 207.392128 324.387706 538.316513 945.500494 1748.377297 3640.533261
2025-11-02 125.383048 195.406370 311.174561 528.103420 953.790711 1825.484688 3985.443483
2025-11-09 120.916953 191.845461 311.862295 543.196921 1013.598475 2020.828532 4671.648356
2025-11-16 114.027439 183.742352 304.114319 541.966520 1041.146450 2153.785155 5248.207088
2025-11-23 106.729160 174.368145 293.280307 533.550145 1052.463801 2252.500986 5766.459152
2025-11-30 101.730753 168.625100 288.485109 536.479504 1088.784197 2418.116936 6538.360705
2025-12-07 95.361579 159.928820 277.417825 525.261375 1091.383814 2500.122185 7081.955493
2025-12-14 90.618012 153.846908 270.779876 522.552845 1113.374677 2637.252168 7861.725713
2025-12-21 83.911962 143.678826 255.463352 499.626605 1083.594036 2628.731650 8131.509826
2025-12-28 82.362931 143.066322 258.792537 517.816631 1157.899044 2928.231954 9670.797851
2026-01-04 81.390746 143.462612 264.134824 541.123982 1249.307986 3301.882520 11707.372628
2026-01-11 78.383928 139.697373 260.673744 543.751328 1286.721176 3520.162262 13209.496523
2026-01-18 73.974828 132.896069 250.406877 529.253358 1275.324372 3579.538395 14019.391360
2026-01-25 70.290976 127.322190 242.332818 519.245659 1275.176957 3677.299308 15077.484989